Alright, I've finally caught up. I haven't had time to put together an extensive analysis on everyone or anything, but I have gathered a few hunches. (Warning: it's late and I'm tired, so if this doesn't make much sense I'll attempt to clarify in the morning.)
Jo is being somewhat confusing. I'm not sure what to think, and I don't think it's possible to be sure. I've got a hunch that she could be a jester - Due to her encouraging people voting for her on the first day. Though she had asked people to vote for her near the middle/end of mafia 2... It's just seems strange to me that she would do that so early in this one unless she had a reason too. Linksbro could be a reason, but why throw her life away so early when she knows she's a good player, and thus more helpful alive? (Am I correct in saying that a jester wins when they die?)
Actually, PA is acting somewhat strange in a similar way (Both Jo and PA are offering themselves up rather early as bait, which doesn't make much sense. Then again, maybe they both have other legit motives. I'm not sure.)
Honestly, I'm not as sure of my other suspicion.
Here Jo said she doesn't lie.
IDISAPPOINTMYDAFD and what is this?
Fair enough that you'd be suspicious of me, and my back and forth with Sasuke, However I bid it be wise to choose him over me, just for the sheer fact I have yet to lie about anything, and you know that Jo doesn't lie in these games. Even when I was the Godmother, I never said I wasn't mafia. I just failed to claim mafia, and avoided suspicion by bringing reasonable evidence against others to the tables. Hell even as the godmother I flat out told you when you were killing an innocent, and you continued to kill them anyways.
I have nothing to lose in this game. So vote for me if you wish. I am not mafia. And you will be disappointed. Because I and I alone know who I am
I have no clue whether or not it is true, but for the moment I'm going to assume it is. Notice she made this post in the midst of people voting for CP.
Intially you were an unknown threat, because, well. I wasn't familliar with your playing stratagies. However I think it was in post 29 of that game... early on day one, because you mentioned MK9. I put you on high threat.
Now that didn't make you a target. As going after you in the night or even during the day would have put suspicion on me, or (in the case of the night) MK9. And had intended the mafia to last the entire game without being killed. And if the serial killer or vig hadnt found MK9... We prolly would have all survived. We plucked the weak innocent ones (aside from Kyby in the beginning) The whole thing was an epic set up really... Enough people were aware that it was Kyby's doing that ended up with Axle being dead on Day one in Mafia 2. So why not kill him in the beginning of game 3. We figured the town would suspect Axle under the premise of revenge. We also took out Zelda_8 with very little problems, and even through that, you guys did not suspect that Hanyou of all people was apart of the mafia. My team played well. We took out high risk players by day and low risk by night. and it served us well.
I am most suspicious of Kyby because he doesn't make mistakes or joke around in this game like he does outside on the forums or in the shoutbox. He plays smart. This game has been quite the opposite of that. Perhaps he doesnt feel like his role is important enough to warrent protection, but egads! thats rather hasty playing even for him.
FOS: Kybyrian
on the other hand, he is a strong player. to risk losing a strong player would be harmful, that is unless he is mafia or the serial killer or any other night anti town role.
Now, I believe CP showed many of the same signs of being a likely townie/new player that Linksbro had also shown. (Correct me if I'm wrong.) Yet in the midst of this, Jo did not leap to the rescue of CP like she lept to the defense of Linksbro.
This means that either
1. She didn't have time.
2. She wanted CP dead as a townie or knew CP was an anti-town and stuck to her always telling the truth in mafia games statement by avoiding commenting on it.
3. She didn't think CP honestly had a chance of being lynched and didn't bother defending him.
4. She didn't feel the need to stand for that particular ideal until Linksbro was attacked.
5. She just didn't notice it.
I highly doubt all but 1, 2 and 3, given that she doesn't lie. I don't know which is true (if any, you never know) but my
hunch is that it's 2. (Hunch means that I'm not ruling out other possibilities.) In which case I'd assume scum. Because if she were a townie she would have reacted like she did toward Linksbro, because both CP and Linksbro were acting like likely townies, and they were both new.
In conclusion, I'm going to
FoS: Baysiderulez and
IGMEOY: PA.
These are not all my hunches; however most of my other hunches are too hunchy to be written out as logical theories at this point.
Wow, that was long... I hope I made at least some sense. o_o