All right, I'm back. It's been quite the week, but here's what I see:
In light of Scarfed's recent roleclaim, I find it to be insignificant. At this point, claims, while they can be trusted, will not save any of us. I assume that if a player is recruited to the cult, even if that player's ability becomes disabled, the knowledge of the former role remains. In short, no matter the role, the possibility of cult membership remains as it was. Under this respect, I now believe that each of us has an equal chance of being a member. Right now, the only player I doubt is a member is musicfan. ALIT, while he seems like the perfect candidate due to his reputable play and his sly activity thus far, doesn't seem to be a cult member based on what I've observed, but I could be wrong. Heroine, I'm at a null on. If anything, I group her in the same boat as ALIT since her ability to endure the long game of Mafia is impeccable around these parts. Now, I consider two players I previously thought to be the least likely cult members: Scarfed and Gummy.
I believe your claim. Yet, I do have a few questions/statements:
1.) How is MF free from recruitment? By any chance would your doctor shot prevent that? It never looked as if the Mafia went after him either. While I don't think MF is in the cult, I am a little uncertain if he is entirely cleared as cult.
2.) So, Gummy claims she is not the Vig? Interesting.... I remember back in the thread when you mentioned this:
This theory that you said you have put a smile on my face when I read it. It seemed to coincide with a sort of 'theory' that I developed early on in the game. At the time, I thought you were the cop! As a result of your statement, I led myself to believe that the vigilante was indeed Gummy. If what she says is true, then my theory is way off. The only reason I bring this up is because of last night. There was no vigilante action, so if Blackkirby somehow recruited the vig in time the vig could indeed be one of the cultists. The flaw in my theory is that a kill did indeed go off after BK's death. Anyways, what I want to know, if you can supply, is, how did you reach this theory, since your abilities don't seem to be apt in role discovery?
3.) Since your role is in the light, I can only wonder if your vig ability can be used during the day as well? Hmm....
I'm aware that my findings harbor some speculation and perhaps some long-shot possibilities, but I really need some input right now!
I just woke up and I've only slept 4 hours tonight but I will try to answer you to the best of my abilities.
1: Musicfan can't be cult because of his character. Since lady of the leaves, his mason was revealed as one of the diggers it's safe to assume that he is the other digger. That means that he couldn't be recruited night three because we know that T.J. got recruited then. The night one recuitment was of a usually aggressive guy which doesn't fit his character as well thus making it unlikely. Besides I doubt that a cult member would go out of his way without being requested to confirm Pendio on day 2.
2: I thought that Gumball was the vig because a lot of the time people she suspected died on the night by the vig. At least this was the case with Thar and Lugia. It seemed plausible at that point in time but now I think it was maybe just a coincidence or maybe even someone who trusted Gummball to be able to find the scum and thus killed those who she thought was suspicious. Also it was a lot of gut feeling involved. I generally felt that Gumball played like a typical Vigilante would have.
3: No I can't use my vig ability on the day.
Also I just realised that Heroine isn't cleared of suspicion just yet. If she was T.J. and got recruited night three she could still have sent a message to Musicfan. If Gumball was her cult buddy she could have played along and said that she got the pm from her. But this is only possible if Gumball indeed was a cult member which is why I suggest that we lynch her.
