fused_shadows
Brave Knight of Truth
Alright, so I had to do a little bit of research on both roles, and basically an Usurper is a role that takes over as Godfather if the real Godfather dies. Outliving the GF is part of their win con, which definitely explains why kokirion was so adamant for DekuNut's lynch. A Mentee is the "side-kick", so to speak, of a Mentor, who is kinda like a Cult leader. However, once the Mentor has successfully recruited a Mentee, they can kill at night.
So, Marshal was sent by his Mentor to kill Kokirion, while a "human" sent out to kill Marshal. I suppose that the human is the Vigilante, or maybe an SK? I doubt there'd be two third-party kills (Mentor & SK), so I think a Vig is more likely. Is Pit considered a human? XD
Also, this is the first kill I can think of that involved a blade. However, I was looking at the past night scenes, and the only mention of a player dying by something other than a beam/orb of light was Big Octo. Death scene:
Maybe by "show me what you've got", he had a duel with the killer? If so, that might mean these two kills (Marshal and Octo) were done by the Vigilante.
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Another thing I'd like to mention is that this is the first kill we've seen done by a bow, Marshal weapon of choice. So, I think it's possible that the Mentor failed to recruit on the first two nights, and then succeeded on the third with Marshal. Kokirion was their first kill, and a mighty good one at that. Or, maybe Marshal was recruited earlier, and the Mentor performed the other kills? Both theories are possible at this point.
Also, what was the whole deal with this part:
Absorbing kokirion? Is there some character that absorbs people? If there is, that's probably our Mentor.
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I'd also like to talk about TGR's role. He's clearly not third-party, nor is he part of the Underworld mafia. Thus, I believe our theory of two mafia groups was correct. This adds an intriguing twist to scumhunting, because now even mafia members have to scumhunt, for the other group, of course. We should check out anybody who defended TGR at any point; they may be another Aurum.
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I believe we have enough deaths that we might be able to get something by looking through the Final Vote Counts. I'll take it Day-by-Day:
Day 1:
JC was SERIOUSLY right about there being scum on Thareous' wagon. There's two, and there's also two remaining from there that haven't died yet. For this reason, JC is leaning town to me. I doubt he'd push for investigating a bandwagon that had to of his scumbuddies on it. However, this doesn't clear JC from being part of the Aurum.
TGR was really pushing for Pendio's lynch early on, iirc. This could definitely mean that Pendio is not part of the Aurum, but he could still be a member of the Underworld. Ugh, all these groups.
Day 2:
I don't really like JC's placement here. At the forefront of the lynch of the Doctor? I doubt he's part of the Underworld, but could he be part of the Aurum? Definitely possible.
What do you guys think of the odds that kokirion tried to get two Townies lynched, back-to-back? Maybe kokirion was setting himself up for Town cred? idk, I think the latter is more likely. For that reason, Avatar is leaning Town.
Day 3:
Three way mafia hit at the end there? Possible. That's the way I'm looking at it, right now. The group sees that Deku gas 4 votes, and realize his death is inevitable. Kokirion, being the Usurper, jumps on the lynch, hoping to get DekuNut lynched, which realizes one of his win cons. Pkfroce, seeing that the death of his godfather is iminent, jumps on as well, especially with the relief of knowing that he has a backup godfather (kokirion). Let's look at his vote post:
Now, if pkfroce is indeed sided with the Underworld, then he would have thought TGR was Town, since they didn't know here about the second mafia group. Isn't this perfect? Take out your godfather for Town cred, get a new godfather, and then set up a Townie to get lynched the next Day. Win-Win.
Day 4:
I'm really intrigued by Atticuz's vote here. Could she be Marshal's Mentor, and was trying to separate herself from him, in case he died? There was no real chance of Marshal being lynched, considering the overwhelming support for TGR's lynch, so the vote was merely for show. This theory is plausable, IMO, but I'm definitely not going to suggest lynching Atticuz just yet.
Interesting thing to note here as well: pkfroce is in on the lynch. This lines up perfectly with my theory above. For this reason, I'm gonna start this Day with a vote.
Vote: pkfroce
I'd like to hear your side of the story, pkfroce.
So, Marshal was sent by his Mentor to kill Kokirion, while a "human" sent out to kill Marshal. I suppose that the human is the Vigilante, or maybe an SK? I doubt there'd be two third-party kills (Mentor & SK), so I think a Vig is more likely. Is Pit considered a human? XD
Also, this is the first kill I can think of that involved a blade. However, I was looking at the past night scenes, and the only mention of a player dying by something other than a beam/orb of light was Big Octo. Death scene:
"Really?" Big Octo frowned. "It's a shame... I really wanted to see the outcome of this little game I had planned." He showed no fear as he stepped forward. "Well, then! Show me what you've got!"
Maybe by "show me what you've got", he had a duel with the killer? If so, that might mean these two kills (Marshal and Octo) were done by the Vigilante.
---
Another thing I'd like to mention is that this is the first kill we've seen done by a bow, Marshal weapon of choice. So, I think it's possible that the Mentor failed to recruit on the first two nights, and then succeeded on the third with Marshal. Kokirion was their first kill, and a mighty good one at that. Or, maybe Marshal was recruited earlier, and the Mentor performed the other kills? Both theories are possible at this point.
Also, what was the whole deal with this part:
The human watched with horror as Kokirion's body was lifted into the air and he began glowing, the light shining from his body and -- as strange as it seemed -- being absorbed by The Marshal.
Absorbing kokirion? Is there some character that absorbs people? If there is, that's probably our Mentor.
---
I'd also like to talk about TGR's role. He's clearly not third-party, nor is he part of the Underworld mafia. Thus, I believe our theory of two mafia groups was correct. This adds an intriguing twist to scumhunting, because now even mafia members have to scumhunt, for the other group, of course. We should check out anybody who defended TGR at any point; they may be another Aurum.
---
I believe we have enough deaths that we might be able to get something by looking through the Final Vote Counts. I'll take it Day-by-Day:
Day 1:
Final Vote Tally
Thareous (5) - Ver-go-a-go-go, Linkdude74/pkfroce, DekuNut, kokirion, musicfan
Pendio (3) - thegreenrobby, Dracomajora, Rachel
Mellow Ezlo (2) - LittleGumball, Thareous
Atticus (1) - fused_shadows
Fig (1) - justac00lguy
The Marshal (1) - The Marshal
AvatarFlygon (1) - Pendio
Not Voting: Fig, Mellow Ezlo, Draco626, Big Octo, FirevsIce, Atticus, AvatarFlygon
JC was SERIOUSLY right about there being scum on Thareous' wagon. There's two, and there's also two remaining from there that haven't died yet. For this reason, JC is leaning town to me. I doubt he'd push for investigating a bandwagon that had to of his scumbuddies on it. However, this doesn't clear JC from being part of the Aurum.
TGR was really pushing for Pendio's lynch early on, iirc. This could definitely mean that Pendio is not part of the Aurum, but he could still be a member of the Underworld. Ugh, all these groups.
Day 2:
Final Vote Tally
AvatarFlygon (4) - Ver-go-a-go-go, Dracomajora, kokirion, musicfan
musicfan (4) - justac00lguy, thegreenrobby, FirevsIce, LittleGumball
Not Voting: Fig, Mellow Ezlo, fused_shadows, The Marshal, Pendio, Atticus, Rachel, AvatarFlygon, pkfroce, Big Octo, DekuNut
I don't really like JC's placement here. At the forefront of the lynch of the Doctor? I doubt he's part of the Underworld, but could he be part of the Aurum? Definitely possible.
What do you guys think of the odds that kokirion tried to get two Townies lynched, back-to-back? Maybe kokirion was setting himself up for Town cred? idk, I think the latter is more likely. For that reason, Avatar is leaning Town.
Day 3:
Final Vote Tally
DekuNut (7) - Dracomajora, justac00lguy, fused_shadows, Pendio, kokirion, pkfroce, DekuNut
thegreenrobby (1) - Atticus
Not Voting: Fig, Mellow Ezlo, Ver-go-a-go-go, The Marshal, Rachel, AvatarFlygon, LittleGumball, Big Octo, FirevsIce, thegreenrobby
Three way mafia hit at the end there? Possible. That's the way I'm looking at it, right now. The group sees that Deku gas 4 votes, and realize his death is inevitable. Kokirion, being the Usurper, jumps on the lynch, hoping to get DekuNut lynched, which realizes one of his win cons. Pkfroce, seeing that the death of his godfather is iminent, jumps on as well, especially with the relief of knowing that he has a backup godfather (kokirion). Let's look at his vote post:
If Deku flips scum, I suggest we go after TGR next.
Unvote
Vote: DekuNut
Now, if pkfroce is indeed sided with the Underworld, then he would have thought TGR was Town, since they didn't know here about the second mafia group. Isn't this perfect? Take out your godfather for Town cred, get a new godfather, and then set up a Townie to get lynched the next Day. Win-Win.
Day 4:
Final Vote Tally
thegreenrobby (6) - fused_shadows, Mellow Ezlo, LittleGumball, pkfroce, The Marshal, justac00lguy
The Marshal (1) - Atticus
Not Voting: Fig, Ver-go-a-go-go, Dracomajora, Pendio, Rachel, kokirion, AvatarFlygon, thegreenrobby
I'm really intrigued by Atticuz's vote here. Could she be Marshal's Mentor, and was trying to separate herself from him, in case he died? There was no real chance of Marshal being lynched, considering the overwhelming support for TGR's lynch, so the vote was merely for show. This theory is plausable, IMO, but I'm definitely not going to suggest lynching Atticuz just yet.
Interesting thing to note here as well: pkfroce is in on the lynch. This lines up perfectly with my theory above. For this reason, I'm gonna start this Day with a vote.
Vote: pkfroce
I'd like to hear your side of the story, pkfroce.