Game Thread Night Hut Mafia - The Treacherous Neighborhoods

[Libk]

Jamie I think you're wrong on this one. Having the huts be open knowledge gives mafia focus that they may not have had before. I feel that they're less likely to make errors in their choices now. Let's talk theoretical

We lynch town day 1, mafia hits a Townie night 1 who's in sane hut as day 1, we have 50/50 shot at hitting mafia on day 2 with basically no info, depending on the two remaining. Misslynch, then night 2 mafia kills someone in a different hut. Yeah we're gonna bag 1 scum for sure now, but we've cleared no one, abd going into day 3 we will have lost 5 town members and will be in lylo with a 33% chance of hitting scum in a neighborhood.

 

[Libk]

That doesn't even account for the fact we could possibly lose an entire day worth of info.

 

[Storm]

Libk makes sense

Btw Libk. Who are you feeling in your Hood? If we can solidify a Scum hit in your bunk, none of your theory has to happen

 

[Morbid Minish]

Jamie I think you're wrong on this one. Having the huts be open knowledge gives mafia focus that they may not have had before. I feel that they're less likely to make errors in their choices now. Let's talk theoretical

We lynch town day 1, mafia hits a Townie night 1 who's in sane hut as day 1, we have 50/50 shot at hitting mafia on day 2 with basically no info, depending on the two remaining. Misslynch, then night 2 mafia kills someone in a different hut. Yeah we're gonna bag 1 scum for sure now, but we've cleared no one, abd going into day 3 we will have lost 5 town members and will be in lylo with a 33% chance of hitting scum in a neighborhood.

That theoretical could happen regardless of whether we revealed who was in which neighborhood. Like I said, scum would let each other know who was in their neighborhood anyways so it's still the same. If we lynch townie day 1, mafia still know what neighborhood they were in and who else is in that neighborhood that they could kill.

 

[Storm]

Well Min lets go into Roles

Lets say we lynch a VT by mistake
And the members of that hut are the Survivor and the asshole. All scum would have to do is hit the Survivor, and then Scum is assured in that Hut. Depending on Hot Potatoes

 

[Storm]

Scratch that. Asshole can hide behind anyone, but you get what i mean

 

[Libk]

That theoretical could happen regardless of whether we revealed who was in which neighborhood. Like I said, scum would let each other know who was in their neighborhood anyways so it's still the same. If we lynch townie day 1, mafia still know what neighborhood they were in and who else is in that neighborhood that they could kill.

Right but my point was that by revealing and making everything known we lessen the chance that mafia makes mistakes and we give them more focus. We eliminate human error on their side. I think that's detrimental in this set up.

 

[Storm]

Libk i asked a question to you

 

[kokirion]

5 pages already.

I'll read them now and will post as soon as possible.

 

[Libk]

Libk i asked a question to you

I realize. But I've already stated slight suspicion on Jamie because of how quick he was to suggest abd get the info out ther .

 

[Morbid Minish]

Right but my point was that by revealing and making everything known we lessen the chance that mafia makes mistakes and we give them more focus. We eliminate human error on their side. I think that's detrimental in this set up.

Sorry, but I still just don't see how that makes sense. It's info mafia already has, us reiterating that info doesn't give them any more advantage. I can see how your theoretical could maybe make sense if the three scum were inexperienced players. However, just in your neighborhood alone, all four of you are pretty focused and experienced mafia players, and one of you are scum. Even if the other two scum are inexperienced players, the scum in your neighborhood wouldn't let them lose focus and make an error like that.

 

[Storm]

Oh. Forgot about this
Unvote

 

[Storm]

Jamie has been acting rather goal-oriented. But i have no doubt in saying he is town or 3rd. He wants to win. At any cost. If he is town he has a 55% chance of being Vanilla, and 11% the other 4 roles. I see no reason to trust him for now. If he assholes or potatoes we know who to blame.

 

[Libk]

The thing is I can't change the fact things were already told but I can still be suspicious of how quickly. And his statement that he will manipulate what he can to win doesn't set with me well.

 

[Storm]

I'd bet He's the Survivor