I think her clarity with admitting she is playing to her scum meta probably means she isn't scum here, but I could be wrong. Your reasoning of her being scum is reliant on a game I'm not familar with, and I don't think you have very good case aside from that anyway.
I get that you think you have a good grasp of Pen's meta but I think you're giving him a pass here that isn't warranted, he should totally be a null. If Kirino said the same thing I'd caution him of the same. 2 posts isn't substantial enough to read into, bottom line. One of the last games that I played with Pen he was town and very active on Day 1, so I think his activity is probably NAI.
These two reads are stretches with hastily made conclusions and are my main concerns of your reads. Rag has two jokes votes on her atm and now you are piling on her and now Mikey has. There are a lot of town games where you've voiced a desire to want to not make easy lynches on Day 1, so my question for you is do you honestly believe Rag isn't an easy lynch right now?
I think Rag would absolutely say she's playing to her scum meta as scum. She's very smart and knows that something like that would look favorable. So it's not AI to me. And yeah most people aren't familiar with the game I am referencing and it was an unusual game to begin with. But I read people easier by being scum with them and that's the closest I have to that with Rag. You don't think that a case that someone who is usually more aggressive and proactive in helpful ways as town, but how is proactive in more fake ways (just prodding but not doing much else) as scum is strong? I don't know what to tell you there. I see a difference in her plays (one she admitted to herself, after I voted her mind you so it must have been a strong case if it were true) so I'm going to follow that.
I'm not giving him a pass. You're acting like I've town locked him, when I just think his play has warranted him a town enough read to not want to lynch him today. Also it has nothing to do with activity like you're seeming to imply (except for I think he would have been active in the game sooner as scum), it has to do with tone.
They're absolutely not stretches with hastily made conclusions, especially considering the fact that I tend to read them on these things in other games as well.
I don't think Rag is the easy vote here and I'm not sure why you think she is? She had two rvs votes on her that I don't take into consideration because they should be moved if not serious. And before I brought up my thoughts on Rag others were town reading her. It feels like you honed in on my reads list and read no other posts in the game.
As for you and Tristan, it was explained in my reads list. I'm bad at reading you both. Tristan seems a bit scummy to me and usually when I read him scum he's town. So I don't want to mislynch town d1 on a **** read. I feel like I can solve him and you with more posts. Rag I feel like is someone who will become more inactive the less interested she gets. And I actually felt like she was my strongest case after thinking about everyone.