We will always gain more info from a lynch than just relying on the night. Like I said in my post above, there are too many variables in the night that make this tactic a risk. Besides, with lynches, we look at voting patterns, posts, etc., which give way more information than night actions that have too many ways to fail. Even if a townie gets lynched, a lot of evidence is created to discuss during day 2.Who knows, maybe it is because I'm inexperienced, but I don't see how lynching a townie(which is the likely scenario) and leaving another for the mafia will put townies in a advantage. The simple fact is if we do that, we'll have less townies, which we want to avoid.
Scenario 1: We lynch day 1 and take out a townie, mafia takes another out during night. Mafia 2, Townies 0
Scenario 2: We lynch day 1 and take out a townie, mafia stays silent during night, allowing us to kill ourselves. Mafia 1, Townies 0
Scenario 3:We don't lynch day 1 and mafia does. Mafia 1 Townies 0
Scenario 4: Neither lynch, during the night phase, townies gather info. 0-0
We won't have any info at all until night phase when we gather info or mafia strikes against us. A day 1 lynch is a shot in the dark and is statistically unwise.
Anyway, I'm off to the movies, so I'll see y'all tonight.