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GAME THREAD: Dark Souls Mafia

I said what I said. There's a reason I mentioned how many pages we're in or what is currently being talked about with no in depth analysis to back it up.

Rather than forcibly making up anything, even something weak, I'd rather see more concrete discussion driven by interactions and opinions on interactions vs making something up.

If anything it is detrimental to some town to make something up and try to push it *just because*. You're not going to solve the game off of it D1.


Also, what is this DW?



Like, what is going on here? Because YOU made it a point to purposefully push for something -- anything -- for the sake of discussion. No matter how small. Isett brought up a discussion point. NAI or not, it's a discussion point that gives you something to talk about as has been seen already with some people chiming in.

Seanzie's whole "vibe" thing to start it off is already a nonstarter for actual solving wrt to Isett. The bulk of Seanzie's post going into more "concrete" stuff is another matter entirely since, by Seanzie's words, Isett's whole discussion setup is NAI -- something that while scum can do town can also do (especially if you're looking to talk about anything D1 which hey, you were). So it is questionable to me that Seanzie would start with a bad vibe followed by a "concrete" observation of a NAI point regarding Isett's NAI action. Strictly speaking, you're going to get opinions on people both good and bad, and on a topic that is NAI in the first point, well what else would you expect? But overall it's discussion that it generates which is what you wanted.

So already both you and Seanzie are coming off weird to me.

You for the complete 180 simply because Seanzie had a "vibe" that gets "concretely" rooted in a NAI point, and Seanzie for pushing said vibe on a NAI point.

Like, is that what you, in particular DW, were looking for when it came to *anything* that someone felt? Even something as flimsy as a vibe like Seanzie talked about?

Because all I see from Seanzie is entirely speculation with no concrete founding in it due to the entire focus being rooted in something that is, as Seanzie contended, is NAI in the first place.
Congratulations on doing something!
Unvote: KingofDominaria

I do not expect to solve the entire game Day 1. But I expect people to try their damnedest to based on what there is available anyway, which will give more material to read based on going into the next days.

And yes. I did do a 180 on that post. Its not as though the town vibes I was getting were strong. And I really think the fact that Isett focused. Yes, Isett brought up a discussion point. Yes, I think that having discussion points in the thread is a good thing. But Seanzie pointed out Isett focused on their discussion point as a discussion point, and that is not remotely its primary merit. Clearing people is. And the more I think about that, the more I see that misfocusing of discussion benefitting scum much more than town; if they focus on it as a discussion point, rather than as a method of clearing people, than there's a chance other's will during the discussion overlook it as a method of clearing people as well, instead focusing on what Isett focused on: discussion generated, which on that subject, won't be great for getting good reads. And again, I overall agree that the general vibe of Isett's post is similar to first posts I've seen from some scum before.
The read I'm sheeping isn't strong, and I'm not planning to vote Isett unless their further posts also look bad.

And yes, even just a flipping vibe is a viable answer to "anything" at this stage of the game. It's early D1. What do you expect?
 
Joined
Dec 13, 2019
I expect consistency. That's not what you're being.

There is nothing to try our damnedest on when information is lacking. Even something as basic as a talking point, while helpful, doesn't do much without interactions, but if people agree mostly on it, then you glean nothing.

You doing that 180 is scummy in the strictest sense given you're latching onto the flimsy reasoning Seanzie is putting out there on a topic they already view as NAI despite focusing on crafting reasons, based on the very same NAI topic, to paint Isett in a bad picture without much else.

At best this shows you and Seanzie to not be scum/scum as you are the one that kept pushing for more to be said. One of you though can certainly be scum with you and your willingness to flip on something so trivial (and wrong given its basis) and Seanzie for crafting that horrible logic wrt to Isett over the topic in the first place.

Of the two, I'd go with you. In Seanzie's case it isn't uncommon (it is, in fact, very common) for town to be wrong. You, though, are just quick to sheep.

Vote: DawningWinds
 
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Dec 28, 2020
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also I think we discussed before the game even was up what the optimal play was but it involved everyone sharing results and whenever hider died we'd have a few cleared people
Go read my post that mentions Purple in it and get back to me.
(and sure DW we can do Purple
 
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Dec 28, 2020
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Here's an idea I'd like to hear thoughts on and maybe possibly generate my entire day 1 reads list off of:

What do you think of hider cover similar to the way some people seer/cop cover (ie, if I was a cop I would have peeked player X)?

Personally I can't decide on where I'd put the cost/benefit ratio. I do have a few ideas on how to weaponize it for hunting. But overall I think the major value would be a directional talking point rather than aimless chatter.

I agree with Sean.
I don’t like this, but it’s mainly just vibes.

anyway as I said what we should do isPurple someone today and then start making wills tomorrow.
 
Joined
Jul 7, 2021
Gender
Male
I said what I said. There's a reason I mentioned how many pages we're in or what is currently being talked about with no in depth analysis to back it up.

Rather than forcibly making up anything, even something weak, I'd rather see more concrete discussion driven by interactions and opinions on interactions vs making something up.

If anything it is detrimental to some town to make something up and try to push it *just because*. You're not going to solve the game off of it D1.


Also, what is this DW?

Like, what is going on here? Because YOU made it a point to purposefully push for something -- anything -- for the sake of discussion. No matter how small. Isett brought up a discussion point. NAI or not, it's a discussion point that gives you something to talk about as has been seen already with some people chiming in.

Seanzie's whole "vibe" thing to start it off is already a nonstarter for actual solving wrt to Isett. The bulk of Seanzie's post going into more "concrete" stuff is another matter entirely since, by Seanzie's words, Isett's whole discussion setup is NAI -- something that while scum can do town can also do (especially if you're looking to talk about anything D1 which hey, you were). So it is questionable to me that Seanzie would start with a bad vibe followed by a "concrete" observation of a NAI point regarding Isett's NAI action. Strictly speaking, you're going to get opinions on people both good and bad, and on a topic that is NAI in the first point, well what else would you expect? But overall it's discussion that it generates which is what you wanted.

So already both you and Seanzie are coming off weird to me.

You for the complete 180 simply because Seanzie had a "vibe" that gets "concretely" rooted in a NAI point, and Seanzie for pushing said vibe on a NAI point.

Like, is that what you, in particular DW, were looking for when it came to *anything* that someone felt? Even something as flimsy as a vibe like Seanzie talked about?

Because all I see from Seanzie is entirely speculation with no concrete founding in it due to the entire focus being rooted in something that is, as Seanzie contended, is NAI in the first place.

It is a common town technique in the early game to "make stuff up" in order to get the game going (or, better yet, to overstate early weak reads in order to give people things to respond to). We can't form concrete reads until we've seen people interacting with the thread, taking sides on things, etc. so putting out an early weak read without much substance allows others to agree or disagree, creating readable content. It can be detrimental to just pick something early and stick with it, but since we're barely 12 hours into the game, I don't see that happening as of yet.

I'm not sure if I did not communicate effectively or if you did not read my post carefully enough, but there are a few things I'd like to correct here. Setup spec is NAI, but someone making a first post trying to look helpful by saying "we should talk about the setup" while not actually having thought about the setup is >rand!wolf. As far as vibes go, they're pretty much all we got until the game actually gets going, and people who are good at vibe reads are actually extremely good (you can fake setup spec, you can fake reads, but tone and vibe is VERY VERY hard to fake as a wolf... some very good wolves can do it well, but most people are not very good wolves.) Discussion for the sake of discussion is not always good. We want to generate readable content, and while setup spec can be helpful, it very rarely generates readable content, and gives wolves an easy way to win town points by looking helpful doing something that is easy to fake.

Yes, this entire game is speculation. We could get lucky and get some mech info from the hider, but aside from that, we will not have anything concrete to go on, only speculation.

I expect consistency. That's not what you're being.

There is nothing to try our damnedest on when information is lacking. Even something as basic as a talking point, while helpful, doesn't do much without interactions, but if people agree mostly on it, then you glean nothing.

You doing that 180 is scummy in the strictest sense given you're latching onto the flimsy reasoning Seanzie is putting out there on a topic they already view as NAI despite focusing on crafting reasons, based on the very same NAI topic, to paint Isett in a bad picture without much else.

At best this shows you and Seanzie to not be scum/scum as you are the one that kept pushing for more to be said. One of you though can certainly be scum with you and your willingness to flip on something so trivial (and wrong given its basis) and Seanzie for crafting that horrible logic wrt to Isett over the topic in the first place.

Of the two, I'd go with you. In Seanzie's case it isn't uncommon (it is, in fact, very common) for town to be wrong. You, though, are just quick to sheep.

Vote: DawningWinds

This might seem counter-intuitive, but inconsistency is actually USUALLY more towny than not. Townfolk are suspicious of everyone, and constantly asking themselves if they're right or wrong, and often have feelings about people and things that they cannot fully explain. As such, townies can be very inconsistent.

On the other hand, wolves KNOW who is a wolf and who isn't, so they don't have feelings and suspicions about other players in the same way townfolk do. They obviously try to pretend that they do, but they don't, and so instead many wolves actually create a very logical and consistent (incorrect) narrative because they don't have those feelings of paranoia, or suspicion they can't explain on people, so only give reads they CAN explain, and tend to stick to them for longer (because this is easier than explaining why their reads changed).

Now, wolves can be inconsistent, but this usually happens for one of two reasons:


1. They need to make an opportunistic play; sometimes wolves switch gears on someone because they need them as a miselim even though they were townreading them, they try to whiteknight someone, they need to defend a partner, or maybe they need to bus a partner. These strategies sometimes lead to inconsistant reads from wolves, but I think it is much much too early to really expect to see any of these things.

2. They forget about their early reads later on; this can happen since their early reads were faked (but townies can also forget their early reads), but again this will usually happen closer to the end of the game, not right at the beginning.


Scum want to blend in and make friends. Town are not concerned about this. You're more likely to see hard pushes early on by town, not scum. Not always true, but true more often than not.

How do you know I'm wrong?
 
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I agree with Sean.
I don’t like this, but it’s mainly just vibes.

anyway as I said what we should do isPurple someone today and then start making wills tomorrow.

Does your perspective change if I also told you that I get bad vibes from you?
 
Joined
Dec 13, 2019
@ Seanzie

1) "Technique" is not what I would describe just saying whatever comes to your mind and running with it. It's clearly too early, as I've already indicated earlier to DW and as you've just affirmed yourself, for anything to actually catch scum. If you want to make reads off of it by all means; however, your reads are based on paper thin, opinionated perspectives with no basis in any in depth analysis because, again, still too early.

This is the same thing I threw at DW for putting pressure onto me for as if acting like you'd catch scum from any sort of trivial conversation where one feeling or another won't make or break the game. At best, you're just assuming with your interactions -- and that's fine. Just don't act like it's going to make or break the game when we've got plenty of pages and days to come upon.

2) I'm able to read just fine, and as I've stated is exactly what I observed. Isett put forth a discussion point which is something DW wanted and you've clearly indicated is just fine. Isett clearly indicated a point that is worthwhile in talking about (as has been seen with some responses) and noted that it'll help with pushing discussion. YOU made it a point to say that it is NAI -- both *town* and scum can push that kind of talking point. That's it. There's nothing else to read into that. A "vibe" that you can't quantify doesn't prove or help with a read other than it being some irrational thing you've formulated and put out there.

Here's an idea I'd like to hear thoughts on and maybe possibly generate my entire day 1 reads list off of:

What do you think of hider cover similar to the way some people seer/cop cover (ie, if I was a cop I would have peeked player X)?

Personally I can't decide on where I'd put the cost/benefit ratio. I do have a few ideas on how to weaponize it for hunting. But overall I think the major value would be a directional talking point rather than aimless chatter.

That is Isett's post that you keep talking about. At no point in his post is he actually *SPECULATING* about the setup of the game. That's something you entirely came up with out of nowhere on your own. What Isett proposed is offering cover for the hider by posting a simply "I targeted X if I were the hider," or some such thing.

Setup spec is NAI, but someone making a first post trying to look helpful by saying "we should talk about the setup" while not actually having thought about the setup is >rand!wolf

Nothing about Isett's suggestion or post is as you put forth. So really what are you doing here? Misrepping Isett? Because that's what it looks like based on the contrast of how you describe Isett's post and the actual content of Isett's post.

And no, hard disagree. Discussion for the sake of discussion is always good because that's what town has mostly. That's all town has. And Isett's suggestion/observation certainly bore out to be true (and even on a theory point it is still true as you would be better off with actual discussion vs aimless chatter that scum can hide in). Nothing you've said here actually bears out to be the case *ESPECIALLY* when all you have are "vibes" as if that's going to help with any concrete scum hunting.

Isett, at the very least, helped put forth not only a viable topic that is worth doing as it gives PR cover, but you've gone so far as being unable to read his post and represent it properly either because you're maliciously doing it or you just made a mistake. With 40 games under your belt either could be the case wouldn't you say?


3)

The first day is RSV/speculation short of those interactions you'd want. Isett generated that in spades, yet you saw fit to say that discussion for the sake of discussion isn't always good. Ha.

That's the basis for forming everything later on, as I touched upon previously, for town because you'll want to look back at how those people interacted or what stances they took on top of voting records.

4)

Inconsistency is inconsistency especially if the outlook doesn't make sense/isn't backed up. Changing up a perspective you had isn't always bad, but if it comes from a place where previously that wasn't what you believed, it raises eyebrows. Anyone can be inconsistent even wolves. It also depends on the player because not all players play the same way.

Either way, wrt to DW, my judgment remains my own despite your perspective. You've offered it, and that's good enough.


5) Scum want to play it safe. Trying to be overly friendly is just as odd as doing something that attracts attention, but hey you have your thoughts and I have mine.


As for how I know you're wrong:

Because you're clearly putting more into Isett's post than it actually there. You are not doing your due diligence in actually reading his post, and then you go on to drone about how he's speculating the setup when he's clearly not.

Here's your response to DW concerning Isett's post:

Mostly just because I feel it in my bones, and go almost entirely by vibes in the early game.

Buttt..... if I had to say something more concrete, I'd point out that you seem to be giving them towny points for initating setup spec discussion, which IMO is NAI. However, they gave themselves an out to base their D1 reads just on how people reply to setup spec, and IMO that is a red flag since again setup spec is NAI (easy for wolves to do, especially since many people do setup spec before they get their rolecards), and it leaves them the ability to pick and choose who gave "good thoughts" and "bad thoughts" without really having to explain why those people are suspicious.

But now, they seem to propose a strategy... but they are completely missing the actual value of that strategy, so for someone who wants to talk setup, I don't feel like they've actually considered how different strategies could benefit town (in particular, they seem to think the strategy's benefit would be to generate chatter rather than y'know... clear people).

Finally, the first post is one of the most vulnerable as wolves. As town, there is no pressure so it is easy to make a first post, but as a wolf, the pressure is greatest then (and after the first post, it is easier for wolves to get into the swing of things), so wolves tend to make certain types of first posts, and this sort of "vaguely helpful while asking a question" type first post is >rand!wolf IMO.

Vibes -- lol.

Concrete point: Not so much. Someone else offering townie points to Isett isn't Isett's fault or problem. Isett put forth a valid discussion topic (offering PR cover) while commenting that it'll help spur his D1 reads (that's fair for him and certainly a lot better than your vibes that you had to be asked about) and it'll help spur talking as opposed to aimless chatter. That's all valid. And despite all that, it's just as you said -- NAI. Speculating setup -- which is not what Isett even suggested in the first place mind you -- is certainly NAI when the setup is known; however, Isett's talking point was about offering PR cover and going from that to judge how he'd read people over the conversation. Nothing about that is a red flag (no more so than just reading people and giving a vibe -- something I will continually hit you with as it's certainly an out as opposed to something more meaty to dig into like this entire discussion point).

Picking and choosing people who gave good or bad thoughts is no more a red flag than speculating setup (or in this case talking about PR cover and what spawns from that). There's more to be said about reading people from the resulting discussion though, and that's entirely a point in Isett's favor and a negative one in yours.

Talk of strategy: What is your point here? Never mind that you're consistently incorrect about Isett talking about setup, but Isett only posted an idea about offering PR cover which helps facilitate an environment where the PR can only put out their reads and be referred to in the event of their demise. And, correct me if I'm wrong, the hider dies when hiding behind scum so why wouldn't you want the hider to be able to effectively put out a legacy will that condemns their target in the event the hider dies behind scum?

The more I think about it, the more negative you come out looking for trying to quell/misrep Isett's post. How so? Because if you don't have a collective coordination from town to offer cover to the hider, then the hider can't freely put out their target with the rest of the town. That means the hider has to remain quiet and not talk until further into the game if they live that long. Meanwhile scum can PR hunt the hider while guesstimating who is not the PR effectively lowering their PoE. Sounds like a point in Isett's favor for offering something that is actually to the benefit of town, don't you think?

Aside from the mechanical aspect, it's not like Isett said other strategies can't be employed. You, on the other hand, have been quick to dog on Isett's proposed strategy despite your own approach of using vibes (lol).

Finally, lol to the first post is the most vulnerable.

Unvote, Vote: Seanzie

At this point you've certainly acted much more scummy wrt to everything that has come up as opposed to DW. You've earned my vote for the rest of today, Seanzie.
 
Joined
Dec 13, 2019
btw Seanzie, this isn't my first game.

That should be apparent, not that it has anything to do with the content of what I've been discussing wrt to you in the first place.
 

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