If I go with the idea that Mikey is telling the truth then I gotta believe he and Ex are town.
I think d2 is most interesting here. It doesn't seem like a'lana and Seanzie are paired as scumbuds. I'm also not sure if Seanzie and DW are scumbuds from D1, but I dunno how likely it is that DW votes a scumbud like that d1. I know they did in botwolf but that was botwolf. Lmao. If those cases are both true it seems our likely pairs are either Seanzie/Neon, A'lana/DW, DW/Neon, Neon/A'lana. You have Neon in 3 of those and Seanzie in only one. Possible that might be the pair. I almost think it'd be best to vote Seanzie here and see how he flips. If Neon is scum then her d1 is kinda odd. Since she could've made her scumbud tie with someone else. But I could also see Neon just bussing there. The Rubik vote was pretty icky. And it kinda makes sense if the competing wagon was scum. So we possibly had a pure wagon on scum or two close town wagons. First scenario almost seems most likely to me.
I feel like you're ignoring the fact Rag made her wagon the viable one, there's no reason for scum to idle if they were opposed to it
I'd be surprised if it was a pure wagon considering there was no attempt to stop it: if they were going to let it happen then why would they not bus to at least profit from it?
The one that fits this bill is Neon
You said yourself her vote on Rubik was icky. I do appreciate her brief attempt to flavorsolve upon request, but I also feel like I was pinged multiple times by strange voting patterns so far
if Moe is telling the true about being a jailer and mafia attempting to get Kirino shot I think we should look into his reads, because Moe had softed something that could be read as a cop and still lived to see the day
From ISOing him most of his pressure was on Neon and Seanzie. I think it's clear these two stand out, but I feel like Neon is much more likely to retaliate/silence those pressuring her.