I was consistent with it, even when pressured or outright accused of being worth lynching. I posted entire arguments that I shouldn't be lynched in picture form. I posted arguments to lynch other people in picture form.
Not only that, but I refused to lynch Town for the first two mislynches and...
Also, to explain...
The drugs question wasn't far off. I can use meditation to alter my mind state a bit. Grants me a lot of processing power, but it has some of the same side-effects as a concussion. So, sensory overload becomes an issue because I'm spending that time oversensitive to sensory...
If it was a posting restriction, the Bulba player would have said to lynch me from the start. Last two times I've posted with a restriction, I was faking it.
Not a mathematical formula as you'd recognize it. And certainly not one that can be used by a computer.
It would require a lot of explanation that would make even less sense. Just go with "Kerest has insane insight" and leave it at that.
That is Variable Alpha9Z. Current projection puts chaotic impact from game combined with early power moves from Mafia as negating 90% of the advantage of that; as such, all effects of that in favor of a Town victory are currently multiplied by 0.1 to determine the likely outcome.
However, Mafia...
I was speaking plainly. Perhaps more detail will help?
And, to be blunt, my fate in this game is to be lynched. My usefulness for Town is limited, due to the overflow of information from the number of posts present and the current per-cycle post rate. I cannot last the full game utilizing this...
I have tactical knowledge and a building plan on how to counter the ongoing chaos that is destroying Town. Because, at current, Mafia are winning simply by how disorganized Town are.
But, going by the time left and probability mapping, it's already too late for that. My lynch will proceed, Town...
It is when you do it multiple days in a row. Typically, that results in Town demise, since it usually ends up killing Town instead of scum. And a plan doesn't need to be foolproof; it simply has to be constructed well enough to have a solid chance of victory.
Outside of bastard games, silencers and rolecops are usually Mafia on Bulba. You might get an indep with either; we've had plenty of those before. Those can be seen as potentially Town because Bulba Indeps who are not Serial Killers or Jesters usually side with the Town.
However, this game is...
I meant people falsely read me.
And, I am scumhunting. Just that, right now, every tactical examination I take of the situation says it's a solid Mafia victory. Simply scumhunting isn't going to be enough because the only way we have at current to verify any reads is to lynch people, and that's...
I don't willingly give false reads. I just read as incredibly scummy, so lynching me once I've worked on an effort to deal with scum isn't a bad option at all. It both confirms the Towniness of what I'm doing and removes a source of misreads.
And, hey, at least I'm trying to do something...
Those who have played with me on Bulba know that, as Town, I come across pretty scummy and more than once I've planned my own death as part of Town's success. I am fully willing to sacrifice myself to win.
If I were actively attempting to kill you all, I would be asking for you to vote me today.
Yeah, the way I've calculated things at current, eventually you'll need to kill me. Probably around Day 4, just to eliminate the false reads I often give. Killing me too soon cuts you off from the...
A post.
I included two assumptions at the beginning of my logic:
1. ExLight is bused Mafia
2. ExLight is mislynched Town
You are quoting from the section exploring the logic of the Mafia assumption.
I'm not hedging. I'm planning some way for Town to survive this game. At current, all...
I'm pretty much guessing and making leaps of logic in hopes I get some kind of answer. At this point, for all I know I'm just a survivor.
I'm sorry to hear that. I hope it goes far better for you than is likely.
Hey, it only gets worse from here. We're pretty much on the verge of total town disintegration right now. Sadly, the probability curve did not variate from the expected outcome; if anything, it's followed exactly along the expected path.
Current probability of a Mafia victory: 93.7%
Let's see...
Now, how can Mafia both bus and protect one of their own?
Mafia are not stupid. You don't want the entire Mafia team on board for busing someone. Because, even if we don't have investigative abilities now, we'll gain them later and someone might reexamine prior lynches just in case. You don't...
Pretty much, Moe in this post said that my post here initially assumed that the Mafia were throwing ExLight under the bus; in fact, the post initially assumed two possibilities, one in which ExLight was being bused by Mafia and one in which ExLight wasn't.
Moe lied about what the post's initial...
Are you kidding? My plans always involve my death as not only a possible variable, but as one that is planned on. I'm always prepared to die in these games.
Besides, at this point, I'm fighting against illogic itself.
Apparently, you did not fully read the first sentence of the second quote...
You mean, aside from me flat-out telling people what they are doing is scummy and voting people because I think they're too scummy? As well as working out a likely Mafia strategy?
You honestly believe this? AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
Wait, you're serious, aren't you?
Okay, fine... But...
You might want to go back and reread the post. Your assumption is 100% inaccurate.
Which, again, is not what I said.
That's because you apparently have no idea what I actually wrote. And, to be honest, trying to build a lynch on falsehoods is pretty scummy.
Vote: Moe the Moblin
Read this post to answer this question.
Insufficient information, and to date we've been spinning our wheels over ExLight. There's nothing to follow up on because I don't have enough for anything beyond Step 1.
At this stage of the game, and with as little as we know, this is a completely...
*sigh* Well, at least I'll find out both my role and whether I'm Town or Indep when I die. Then I don't have to play this guessing game anymore.
And you're not even denying it.
And your reasoning amounts to "I don't like the way this person has been posting" without any substance to it and with assumptions not backed by evidence. You really do bounce around a lot, trying to pin a lynch on someone other than ExLight, which ultimately may get ExLight lynched simply...
Hmm...
Okay, I'm going to go with instinct on this.
Unvote: ExLight
There is a particular reason why I did this: It's not that I think for an instant that ExLight is not scummy.
It's that, from a Mafia standpoint, ExLight makes a perfect lynch target, either for busing (if ExLight is scum)...
That's not been my experience at all. Mafia with the right people and right access to information can be extremely pro-active and even exercise some control over the Town.
Not necessarily; depending on how effectively the Mafia plan and adapt, chaos can be entirely to their benefit rather than to their detriment. Intentionally causing it, in my experience, can even destroy an effective planned Town counter of Mafia actions and cripple the Town for the rest of the...
Scum's best allies are chaos and confusion.
This entire game is chaos and confusion.
I want Town to win, but Scum has a massive advantage from the start no matter what.
Common sense says, "Don't tick off a bunch of people in a Mafia game when those people have no idea what their alignment or roles are and are trying to hunt scum."