So with 13 players, there were almost certainly 3 mafia members at the start. We can eliminate one from the 3 that we assume were there by the start. That means that there were 10 town to start, and there are now 9.
Mislynch day 2 (8)
NK Night 2 (7)
Mislynch Day 3 (6)
NK Night 3 (5)
Mislynch Day 4 (4)
NK Night 4 (3)
With this easy math, it looks like we could survive up until the end of Day 5, assuming we mislynch every day, and every night is a successful kill. This will most likely not happen. What is more likely is that we kill at least 1 mafia member within that time, giving us more time. They may also fail one or more night actions.
I'm assuming there is 1 independent role (There usually is), and the likelihood of that player dying is pretty high if we get to day 5. We have a decent chance, I'd say.
This info was useless, but it's good to know how much time we have
Mislynch day 2 (8)
NK Night 2 (7)
Mislynch Day 3 (6)
NK Night 3 (5)
Mislynch Day 4 (4)
NK Night 4 (3)
With this easy math, it looks like we could survive up until the end of Day 5, assuming we mislynch every day, and every night is a successful kill. This will most likely not happen. What is more likely is that we kill at least 1 mafia member within that time, giving us more time. They may also fail one or more night actions.
I'm assuming there is 1 independent role (There usually is), and the likelihood of that player dying is pretty high if we get to day 5. We have a decent chance, I'd say.
This info was useless, but it's good to know how much time we have